Climate Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for Global (COVID-19) in Iraqi Kurdistan Region
https://doi.org/10.24017/covid.9
Abstract views: 1821 / PDF downloads: 942Abstract
The present study is about the relationship of the climate to the possibility of turning (COVID-19) into a seasonal epidemic in Iraqi Kurdistan region. The study area is located in the northern Iraq, within subtropical zone in northern hemisphere, it lies between two latitudes (32° 38' – 37° 22') N and longitudes (41° 18' – 46° 21') E. It surrounded by Turkey from north, the Islamic Republic of Iran from east, Syria from northwest and with other parts of Iraq from south and west. To achieve the aim of this study, these topics were analyzed (climatic analysis to spatial variation of (COVID-19) outbreak through the world, climatic characteristics of the study area, and seasonal and spatial danger degree analysis to (COVID-19) in the study area). The evidences indicated that cold and dry conditions may facilitate the spread of the virus. According to the study area the lower the temperature is the greater relative humidity will be and vice versa. Therefore, the study assumed that seasonal differences of temperature and humidity in different regions of the study area might contribute to the balanced risk of infection with the virus.
Keywords:
Climate, COVID-19, Kurdistan Region, Pandemic, Seasonality
References
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[17] Kurdistan Regional Government, Ministry of Health, https://gov.krd/english/government/entities/moh/.
[18] D. C. P. Thalen, Ecology and utilization of desert shrub rangelands in Iraq. Springer Science & Business Media, 2012.
[19] M. Malcolm Walker, Climate of Iraq, A Full Year Study. AFCCC/CCD-05/002, 2005.
[20] J. E. Oliver, ed. Encyclopedia of world climatology. Springer Science & Business Media, 2008.
[21] * (Koppen 1936) Climate Classification: R ? 2t R: Rain fall (mm) T: Temperature (?C). (M. Belda, , E. Holtanová, T. Halenka, and J. Kalvová. "Climate classification revisited: from Köppen to Trewartha." Climate research 59, no. 1 (2014): 1-13.)
https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01204
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3551767
[2] M. M. Sajadi, P. Habibzadeh, A. Vintzileos, S. Shokouhi, F. Miralles-Wilhelm and A. Amoroso, "Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19." Rochester, NY: Social Science Research Network; 2020.
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3550308
[3] A. Balasubramanian, "WORLD CLIMATE ZONES & GROUPS." Center for Advanced Studies in Earth Science, University of Mysore, 2013, https;//www.researchgate.net/publication/314211373
[4] G. Francesco Ficetola, and D. Rubolini, "Climate affects global patterns of COVID-19 early outbreak dynamics." medRxiv (2020).
[5] Y. Cai, T. Huang, X. Liu, and G. Xu. "The Effects of" Fangcang, Huoshenshan, and Leishenshan." Makeshift Hospitals and Temperature on the Mortality of COVID-19 (2020).
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.26.20028472
[6] M. Wang, , A. Jiang, L. Gong, L. Luo, W. Guo, C. Li, J. Zheng, Y. Chen, K. Zhing, H. Li, "Temperature significant change COVID-19 Transmission in 429 cities." MedRxiv (2020).
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.02.22.20025791
[7] J. Brassey, C.Heneghan, K.R.Mahtani, J. K.Aronson, "Do weather conditions influence the transmission of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2)," CEMB, www.cemb.net/oxford-covid-19, (2020).
[8] A. Notari, "Temperature dependence of COVID-19 transmission." arXiv preprint arXiv:2003.12417 (2020).
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.26.20044529
[9] R. Tosepu, , J. Gunawan, D. Savitri Effendy, L. Ali Imran Ahmad, H. Lestari, H. Bahar, and P. Asfian. "Correlation between weather and Covid-19 pandemic in Jakarta, Indonesia." Science of The Total Environment (2020): 138436
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138436
[10] B. Oliveiros, L. Caramelo, N. C. Ferreira, and F. Caramelo. "Role of temperature and humidity in the modulation of the doubling time of COVID-19 cases." medRxiv (2020).
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.05.20031872
[11] M. Ahmadi, A. Sharifi, S. Dorosti, S. Jafarzadeh Ghoushchi, and N. Ghanbari. "Investigation of effective climatology parameters on COVID-19 outbreak in Iran." Science of The Total Environment (2020): 138705.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138705
[12] T. Carleton, and K. C. Meng. "Causal empirical estimates suggest COVID-19 transmission rates are highly seasonal." medRxiv (2020).
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.26.20044420
[13] D. Nevil Pinto, "Is India's Hot Weather Keeping Coronavirus at Bay? Experts Conflicted," TWC India, the weather channel, the times of India, March,03,2020. Available; https://weather.com/en-IN/india/science/news
[14] K. Chiyomaru and K. Takemoto. "Global COVID-19 transmission rate is influenced by precipitation seasonality and the speed of climate temperature warming." medRxiv (2020).
https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.10.20060459
[15] J. Liu, J. Zhou, J. Yao, X. Zhang, L.Li, X. Xu, X. He et al. "Impact of meteorological factors on the COVID-19 transmission: A multi-city study in China." Science of the Total Environment (2020): 138513.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138513
[16] J. Liebig, R. Jurdak, A. El Shoghri, and D. Paini. "The current state of COVID-19 in Australia: importation and spread." Available at SSRN 3559568 (2020).
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3559568
[17] Kurdistan Regional Government, Ministry of Health, https://gov.krd/english/government/entities/moh/.
[18] D. C. P. Thalen, Ecology and utilization of desert shrub rangelands in Iraq. Springer Science & Business Media, 2012.
[19] M. Malcolm Walker, Climate of Iraq, A Full Year Study. AFCCC/CCD-05/002, 2005.
[20] J. E. Oliver, ed. Encyclopedia of world climatology. Springer Science & Business Media, 2008.
[21] * (Koppen 1936) Climate Classification: R ? 2t R: Rain fall (mm) T: Temperature (?C). (M. Belda, , E. Holtanová, T. Halenka, and J. Kalvová. "Climate classification revisited: from Köppen to Trewartha." Climate research 59, no. 1 (2014): 1-13.)
https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01204
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How to Cite
[1]
H. N. M. Amin and H. N. M. Amin, “Climate Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for Global (COVID-19) in Iraqi Kurdistan Region”, KJAR, vol. 5, no. 3, pp. 72–83, May 2020, doi: 10.24017/covid.9.
Published
22-05-2020
Issue
Section
Pure and Applied Science
